Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.083015 2.387529 2.722501 3.118556 3.574388 4.082989 4.694105
2025-08-03 1.679593 2.084637 2.567710 3.187305 3.962489 4.902380 6.131717
2025-08-10 1.341278 1.780923 2.342530 3.114710 4.152513 5.504270 7.407266
2025-08-17 1.070326 1.506735 2.098455 2.962919 4.199960 5.915996 8.494116
2025-08-24 0.903263 1.339559 1.963455 2.925856 4.382974 6.522557 9.932206
2025-08-31 0.770891 1.197885 1.838344 2.875894 4.528957 7.084650 11.381961
2025-09-07 0.703977 1.142239 1.829369 2.994449 4.941164 8.099623 13.685163
2025-09-14 0.632177 1.066946 1.776702 3.031421 5.221484 8.936045 15.818140
2025-09-21 0.559788 0.979522 1.690631 2.996990 5.370982 9.566372 17.682785
2025-09-28 0.487866 0.882524 1.574396 2.891346 5.375601 9.936459 19.122300
2025-10-05 0.463602 0.866582 1.597293 3.037926 5.858016 11.235481 22.509619
2025-10-12 0.441124 0.850566 1.617137 3.179810 6.348620 12.613693 26.263303
2025-10-19 0.414457 0.825063 1.619548 3.295916 6.821519 14.058286 30.467113
2025-10-26 0.382324 0.784662 1.588060 3.340194 7.156550 15.278088 34.416951
2025-11-02 0.340537 0.719068 1.497496 3.248518 7.189884 15.866930 37.071578
2025-11-09 0.297492 0.645128 1.380003 3.081792 7.032640 16.013254 38.726535
2025-11-16 0.270238 0.601724 1.321918 3.038669 7.149110 16.795969 42.048369
2025-11-23 0.245313 0.560234 1.262650 2.984232 7.230479 17.508062 45.321485
2025-11-30 0.235550 0.552047 1.277213 3.105954 7.756213 19.374448 51.913639
2025-12-07 0.220961 0.530626 1.258331 3.143528 8.077603 20.780930 57.537356
2025-12-14 0.203302 0.499559 1.212582 3.107326 8.203634 21.703860 61.994577
2025-12-21 0.183328 0.460290 1.142002 2.997421 8.118041 22.052481 64.875491
2025-12-28 0.179078 0.460207 1.169166 3.149417 8.769246 24.515678 74.475949